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AF301 0321E

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF301 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-10-17 17:24 – 22:14 UTC ·2 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

108°W106°W104°W102°W100°W16°N18°N20°N22°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-17 19:07 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-17 20:33 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 18:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 190° 29 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 18:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 190° 59 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 984 mb Surface wind: 175° 60 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 977 mb Surface wind: 040° 10 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 335° 70 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 025° 34 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 010° 18 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 275° 29 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:24 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 260° 40 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:31 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 989 mb Surface wind: 265° 74 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 977 mb Surface wind: 065° 8 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:48 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 140° 63 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:56 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 160° 44 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 21:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 165° 25 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 18:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 190° 29 kt Splash 95 nm at 120° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 18:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 190° 59 kt Splash 40 nm at 112° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 984 mb Surface wind: 175° 60 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 22 nm at 108° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 977 mb Surface wind: 040° 10 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 188° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 335° 70 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 20 nm at 290° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 025° 34 kt Splash 57 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 19:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 010° 18 kt Splash 99 nm at 310° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 275° 29 kt Splash 76 nm at 225° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:24 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 260° 40 kt Splash 41 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:31 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 989 mb Surface wind: 265° 74 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 21 nm at 201° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 977 mb Surface wind: 065° 8 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 4 nm at 211° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:48 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 140° 63 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°) Splash 27 nm at 084° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 20:56 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 160° 44 kt Splash 52 nm at 091° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-17 21:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 165° 25 kt Splash 105 nm at 093° (SE) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 77 kt, 24 nm at 120° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:59 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 95 kt, 24 nm at 310° (NW) from the estimated center, 19:15 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 91 kt, 27 nm at 094° (SE) from the estimated center, 20:44 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

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