Recon › Rachel
NOAA2 WC18E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
NOAA2 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-09-30 00:58 – 08:47 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
108°W 106°W 104°W 102°W 100°W 98°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N 24°N 26°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-30 05:13 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 110° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:18 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 105° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 105° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 345° 23 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 275° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 260° 31 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 230° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 215° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 190° 52 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 335° 26 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 050° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 060° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 345° 25 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 105° 17 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 080° 54 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 065° 45 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 255° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:38 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 235° 48 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 210° 55 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 200° 55 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 185° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 200° 56 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:08 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 175° 63 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:12 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 165° 64 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 120° 73 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 125° 47 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 115° 37 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 110° 37 kt
Splash 90 nm at 024° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:18 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 105° 39 kt
Splash 71 nm at 022° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 105° 40 kt
Splash 51 nm at 019° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 345° 23 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 7 nm at 190° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 275° 40 kt
Splash 30 nm at 197° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 260° 31 kt
Splash 54 nm at 201° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 03:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 230° 39 kt
Splash 94 nm at 201° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 215° 40 kt
Splash 88 nm at 148° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 190° 52 kt
Splash 53 nm at 148° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 335° 26 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 14 nm at 150° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 050° 30 kt
Splash 26 nm at 328° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 04:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 060° 39 kt
Splash 50 nm at 329° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 345° 25 kt
Splash 42 nm at 254° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 105° 17 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 8 nm at 115° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 080° 54 kt
Splash 16 nm at 350° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 065° 45 kt
Splash 19 nm at 337° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 255° 38 kt
Splash 17 nm at 165° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:38 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 235° 48 kt
Splash 32 nm at 165° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 210° 55 kt
Splash 61 nm at 166° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 05:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 200° 55 kt
Splash 66 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 185° 40 kt
Splash 64 nm at 098° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 200° 56 kt
Splash 51 nm at 099° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:08 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 175° 63 kt
Splash 42 nm at 101° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:12 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 165° 64 kt
Splash 29 nm at 103° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 120° 73 kt
Splash 34 nm at 026° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 125° 47 kt
Splash 45 nm at 032° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-30 06:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 115° 37 kt
Splash 99 nm at 041° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 59 kt, 52 nm at 023° (NE) from the estimated center, 03:18 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 79 kt, 57 nm at 152° (SE) from the estimated center, 04:21 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 53 kt, 54 nm at 329° (NW) from the estimated center, 04:49 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 49 kt, 20 nm at 000° (NE) from the estimated center, 05:21 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 78 kt, 44 nm at 108° (SE) from the estimated center, 06:04 UTC Pass 6: peak 10-s flight-level wind 84 kt, 44 nm at 038° (NE) from the estimated center, 06:30 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (02:54–03:30 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 52 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (03:30–04:36 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 57 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (04:36–05:13 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 54 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (05:13–05:27 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 20 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (05:27–06:15 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 44 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 6 (06:15–06:56 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 44 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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