Recon › Polo

NOAA2 WC17E

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

NOAA2 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-09-25 14:16 – 23:25 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

110°W108°W106°W104°W102°W100°W98°W14°N16°N18°N20°N22°N24°N26°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 17:09 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 18:23 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 19:23 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 16:51 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 100° 38 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 16:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 100° 44 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 960 mb Surface wind: 060° 81 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:10 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 935 mb Surface wind: 055° 113 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (launch) Surface pressure: 917 mb Surface wind: 180° 25 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 951 mb Surface wind: 210° 130 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 270° 41 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 225° 29 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 225° 40 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:28 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 952 mb Surface wind: 115° 147 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 943 mb Surface wind: 345° 157 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 040° 49 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 040° 35 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 340° 24 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 938 mb Surface wind: 235° 131 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 916 mb Surface wind: 115° 31 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 941 mb Surface wind: 000° 114 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1002 mb Surface wind: 070° 51 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 947 mb Surface wind: 005° 107 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 944 mb Surface wind: 345° 111 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 025° 63 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 16:51 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 100° 38 kt Splash 83 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 16:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 100° 44 kt Splash 55 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 960 mb Surface wind: 060° 81 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 11 nm at 357° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:10 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 935 mb Surface wind: 055° 113 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 7 nm at 344° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (launch) Surface pressure: 917 mb Surface wind: 180° 25 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 0 nm at 102° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 951 mb Surface wind: 210° 130 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 9 nm at 151° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 270° 41 kt Splash 48 nm at 206° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 225° 29 kt Splash 95 nm at 150° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 225° 40 kt Splash 51 nm at 146° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:28 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 952 mb Surface wind: 115° 147 kt Splash 11 nm at 037° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 943 mb Surface wind: 345° 157 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 10 nm at 289° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 040° 49 kt Splash 37 nm at 326° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 040° 35 kt Splash 80 nm at 329° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 340° 24 kt Splash 80 nm at 274° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 938 mb Surface wind: 235° 131 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Splash 6 nm at 152° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 916 mb Surface wind: 115° 31 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 5 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 941 mb Surface wind: 000° 114 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Splash 9 nm at 330° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1002 mb Surface wind: 070° 51 kt Splash 64 nm at 001° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 947 mb Surface wind: 005° 107 kt Splash 12 nm at 334° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 944 mb Surface wind: 345° 111 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 9 nm at 313° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 025° 63 kt Splash 30 nm at 331° (NW) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 165 kt, 12 nm at 060° (NE) from the estimated center, 17:06 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 140 kt, 10 nm at 149° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:21 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 148 kt, 10 nm at 330° (NW) from the estimated center, 18:26 UTCPass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 150 kt, 14 nm at 014° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:05 UTCPass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 136 kt, 13 nm at 350° (NW) from the estimated center, 20:11 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

Back to Polo's storm page