Recon › Polo
NOAA2 WC17E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
NOAA2 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-09-25 14:16 – 23:25 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
110°W 108°W 106°W 104°W 102°W 100°W 98°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N 24°N 26°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 18:23 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 19:23 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 16:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 100° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 16:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 100° 44 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 960 mb
Surface wind: 060° 81 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 935 mb
Surface wind: 055° 113 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (launch)
Surface pressure: 917 mb
Surface wind: 180° 25 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 951 mb
Surface wind: 210° 130 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 270° 41 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 225° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 225° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 952 mb
Surface wind: 115° 147 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 943 mb
Surface wind: 345° 157 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 040° 49 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 040° 35 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 340° 24 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 938 mb
Surface wind: 235° 131 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 916 mb
Surface wind: 115° 31 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 941 mb
Surface wind: 000° 114 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 070° 51 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 947 mb
Surface wind: 005° 107 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 944 mb
Surface wind: 345° 111 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 025° 63 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 16:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 100° 38 kt
Splash 83 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 16:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 100° 44 kt
Splash 55 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 960 mb
Surface wind: 060° 81 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 11 nm at 357° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 935 mb
Surface wind: 055° 113 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 7 nm at 344° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:09 UTC (launch)
Surface pressure: 917 mb
Surface wind: 180° 25 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 102° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 951 mb
Surface wind: 210° 130 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 9 nm at 151° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 270° 41 kt
Splash 48 nm at 206° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 225° 29 kt
Splash 95 nm at 150° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 225° 40 kt
Splash 51 nm at 146° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 952 mb
Surface wind: 115° 147 kt
Splash 11 nm at 037° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 943 mb
Surface wind: 345° 157 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 10 nm at 289° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 040° 49 kt
Splash 37 nm at 326° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 040° 35 kt
Splash 80 nm at 329° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 340° 24 kt
Splash 80 nm at 274° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 938 mb
Surface wind: 235° 131 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)
Splash 6 nm at 152° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 916 mb
Surface wind: 115° 31 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 5 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 941 mb
Surface wind: 000° 114 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)
Splash 9 nm at 330° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 070° 51 kt
Splash 64 nm at 001° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 947 mb
Surface wind: 005° 107 kt
Splash 12 nm at 334° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 944 mb
Surface wind: 345° 111 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 9 nm at 313° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 025° 63 kt
Splash 30 nm at 331° (NW) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 165 kt, 12 nm at 060° (NE) from the estimated center, 17:06 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 140 kt, 10 nm at 149° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:21 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 148 kt, 10 nm at 330° (NW) from the estimated center, 18:26 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 150 kt, 14 nm at 014° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:05 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 136 kt, 13 nm at 350° (NW) from the estimated center, 20:11 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (16:31–17:09 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 12 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (17:09–18:23 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 10 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (18:23–19:23 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 10 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (19:23–20:08 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 14 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (20:08–21:02 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 13 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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