Recon › Polo
NOAA2 0517E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
NOAA2 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-09-28 13:35 – 20:44 UTC ·2 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
116°W 112°W 108°W 104°W 100°W 24°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-28 16:37 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-28 17:54 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 180° 32 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 180° 33 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 175° 47 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:22 UTC (launch)
Surface pressure: 997 mb Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 175° 59 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 170° 84 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 964 mb
Surface wind: 195° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 980 mb
Surface wind: 005° 63 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 015° 35 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 360° 14 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 290° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 300° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 300° 71 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 130° 19 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 18:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 065° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 18:12 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 095° 41 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 180° 32 kt
Splash 103 nm at 123° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 180° 33 kt
Splash 103 nm at 123° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 175° 47 kt
Splash 55 nm at 123° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:22 UTC (launch)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Splash 56 nm at 125° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 175° 59 kt
Splash 27 nm at 129° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 170° 84 kt
Splash 14 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 964 mb
Surface wind: 195° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 980 mb
Surface wind: 005° 63 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 14 nm at 283° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 16:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 015° 35 kt
Splash 55 nm at 309° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 360° 14 kt
Splash 99 nm at 308° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 290° 30 kt
Splash 98 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 300° 39 kt
Splash 53 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 300° 71 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 18 nm at 211° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 17:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 130° 19 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 2 nm at 254° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 18:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 065° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 12 nm at 004° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-28 18:12 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 095° 41 kt
Splash 51 nm at 032° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 106 kt, 19 nm at 147° (SE) from the estimated center, 16:32 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 79 kt, 14 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated center, 16:41 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 100 kt, 13 nm at 036° (NE) from the estimated center, 17:58 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (16:00–16:38 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 19 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (16:38–17:55 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 14 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (17:55–18:33 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 13 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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