Recon › Nolo
AF306 0215E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF306 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-25 03:24 – 12:04 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
160°W 158°W 156°W 154°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 05:54 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 07:28 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 09:12 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 10:41 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 04:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1008 mb
Surface wind: 075° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 035° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 030° 41 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 015° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 987 mb
Surface wind: 225° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 06:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 205° 42 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 06:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 215° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 06:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 210° 24 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 085° 32 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 120° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:22 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 110° 54 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 085° 14 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 300° 51 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 315° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 290° 19 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 08:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 205° 26 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 210° 49 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 215° 47 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 225° 17 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:22 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 015° 47 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 010° 53 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 040° 31 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:20 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 260° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 315° 41 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 280° 46 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 035° 15 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 100° 48 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 11:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 100° 44 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 11:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 080° 41 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 035° 38 kt
Splash 109 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 030° 41 kt
Splash 58 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 015° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 30 nm at 308° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 05:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 987 mb
Surface wind: 225° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 176° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 06:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 205° 42 kt
Splash 34 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 06:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 215° 30 kt
Splash 57 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 06:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 210° 24 kt
Splash 104 nm at 135° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 085° 32 kt
Splash 100 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 120° 38 kt
Splash 55 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:22 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 110° 54 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 32 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 085° 14 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 2 nm at 209° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 300° 51 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 25 nm at 214° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 07:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 315° 38 kt
Splash 64 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 290° 19 kt
Splash 106 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 08:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 205° 26 kt
Splash 100 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 210° 49 kt
Splash 48 nm at 138° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 215° 47 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 27 nm at 139° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 225° 17 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 071° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:22 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 015° 47 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 24 nm at 307° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 010° 53 kt
Splash 50 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 09:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 040° 31 kt
Splash 98 nm at 313° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:20 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 260° 30 kt
Splash 91 nm at 219° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 315° 41 kt
Splash 44 nm at 210° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 280° 46 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 21 nm at 188° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 035° 15 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 9 nm at 287° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 10:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 100° 48 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 24 nm at 009° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 11:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 100° 44 kt
Splash 46 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 11:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 080° 41 kt
Splash 95 nm at 039° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 63 kt, 39 nm at 321° (NW) from the estimated center, 05:38 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 81 kt, 30 nm at 140° (SE) from the estimated center, 06:02 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 71 kt, 35 nm at 144° (SE) from the estimated center, 09:01 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 70 kt, 24 nm at 316° (NW) from the estimated center, 09:19 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 75 kt, 33 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated center, 10:53 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (05:07–05:49 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 39 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (05:49–07:28 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 30 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (07:28–09:12 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 35 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (09:12–10:41 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 24 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (10:41–11:29 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 33 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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