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AF306 0215E

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF306 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-25 03:24 – 12:04 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

160°W158°W156°W154°W14°N16°N18°N20°N22°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 05:54 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 07:28 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 09:12 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 10:41 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 04:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1008 mb Surface wind: 075° 29 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:21 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 035° 38 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 030° 41 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 015° 57 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 987 mb Surface wind: 225° 7 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 06:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 995 mb Surface wind: 205° 42 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 06:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1002 mb Surface wind: 215° 30 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 06:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 210° 24 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 085° 32 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 120° 38 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:22 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 994 mb Surface wind: 110° 54 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:31 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 986 mb Surface wind: 085° 14 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 300° 51 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:48 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 315° 38 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 290° 19 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 08:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 205° 26 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 210° 49 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 991 mb Surface wind: 215° 47 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 984 mb Surface wind: 225° 17 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:22 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 991 mb Surface wind: 015° 47 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:30 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1000 mb Surface wind: 010° 53 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 040° 31 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:20 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 260° 30 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:32 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 315° 41 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:39 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 280° 46 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 035° 15 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:53 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 989 mb Surface wind: 100° 48 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 11:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 100° 44 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 11:16 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 080° 41 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:21 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 035° 38 kt Splash 109 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 030° 41 kt Splash 58 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 015° 57 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 30 nm at 308° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 05:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 987 mb Surface wind: 225° 7 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 176° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 06:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 995 mb Surface wind: 205° 42 kt Splash 34 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 06:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1002 mb Surface wind: 215° 30 kt Splash 57 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 06:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 210° 24 kt Splash 104 nm at 135° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 085° 32 kt Splash 100 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 120° 38 kt Splash 55 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:22 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 994 mb Surface wind: 110° 54 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 32 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:31 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 986 mb Surface wind: 085° 14 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 2 nm at 209° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 300° 51 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 25 nm at 214° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 07:48 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 315° 38 kt Splash 64 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 290° 19 kt Splash 106 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 08:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 205° 26 kt Splash 100 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 210° 49 kt Splash 48 nm at 138° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 991 mb Surface wind: 215° 47 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 27 nm at 139° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 984 mb Surface wind: 225° 17 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 071° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:22 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 991 mb Surface wind: 015° 47 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 24 nm at 307° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:30 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1000 mb Surface wind: 010° 53 kt Splash 50 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 09:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 040° 31 kt Splash 98 nm at 313° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:20 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 260° 30 kt Splash 91 nm at 219° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:32 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 315° 41 kt Splash 44 nm at 210° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:39 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 280° 46 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 21 nm at 188° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 035° 15 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 9 nm at 287° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 10:53 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 989 mb Surface wind: 100° 48 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 24 nm at 009° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 11:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 100° 44 kt Splash 46 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 11:16 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 080° 41 kt Splash 95 nm at 039° (NE) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 63 kt, 39 nm at 321° (NW) from the estimated center, 05:38 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 81 kt, 30 nm at 140° (SE) from the estimated center, 06:02 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 71 kt, 35 nm at 144° (SE) from the estimated center, 09:01 UTCPass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 70 kt, 24 nm at 316° (NW) from the estimated center, 09:19 UTCPass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 75 kt, 33 nm at 028° (NE) from the estimated center, 10:53 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

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