Recon › Nolo
AF302 0515E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF302 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-26 12:36 – 21:36 UTC ·5 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
160°W 159°W 158°W 157°W 156°W 155°W 154°W 153°W 15°N 16°N 17°N 18°N 19°N 20°N 21°N 22°N 23°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-26 14:33 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-26 16:06 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-26 17:39 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-26 19:09 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-26 20:30 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 010° 22 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 025° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 205° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 200° 63 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 15:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 190° 22 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 15:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 080° 35 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 100° 59 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 100° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 275° 52 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 290° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 190° 23 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 170° 54 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:43 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 005° 1 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 025° 54 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 18:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 045° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 18:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 285° 23 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 275° 61 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 205° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:20 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 100° 55 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 085° 28 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 055° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 055° 64 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 105° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 015° 61 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 050° 40 kt Flight-level wind: Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 010° 22 kt
Splash 115 nm at 318° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 025° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 19 nm at 308° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 205° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 105° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 14:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 200° 63 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 23 nm at 125° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 15:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 190° 22 kt
Splash 102 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 15:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 080° 35 kt
Splash 100 nm at 043° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 100° 59 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 27 nm at 036° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 100° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 130° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 275° 52 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 20 nm at 208° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 16:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 290° 29 kt
Splash 99 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 190° 23 kt
Splash 98 nm at 130° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 170° 54 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 20 nm at 095° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:43 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 005° 1 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 052° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 17:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 025° 54 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 21 nm at 310° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 18:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 045° 30 kt
Splash 102 nm at 314° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 18:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 285° 23 kt
Splash 92 nm at 225° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 275° 61 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 17 nm at 220° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 205° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 101° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:20 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 100° 55 kt
Splash 27 nm at 039° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 19:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 085° 28 kt
Splash 104 nm at 043° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 055° 38 kt
Splash 102 nm at 000° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 055° 64 kt
Splash 15 nm at 351° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 105° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 148° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 20:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 015° 61 kt
Splash 16 nm at 291° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 050° 40 kt
Splash 101 nm at 314° (NW) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 70 kt, 26 nm at 323° (NW) from the estimated center, 14:26 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 77 kt, 21 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated center, 14:38 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 72 kt, 19 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated center, 16:12 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 83 kt, 22 nm at 322° (NW) from the estimated center, 17:45 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 75 kt, 21 nm at 046° (NE) from the estimated center, 19:15 UTC Pass 6: peak 10-s flight-level wind 74 kt, 19 nm at 308° (NW) from the estimated center, 20:37 UTC Observations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (13:49–14:33 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 26 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (14:33–16:06 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 21 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (16:06–17:39 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 19 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (17:39–19:09 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 22 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (19:09–20:30 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 21 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 6 (20:30–21:12 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 19 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
Back to Nolo's storm page