Recon › Nolo
AF302 0315E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF302 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-25 15:48 – 23:38 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
160°W 158°W 156°W 154°W 152°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 17:52 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 19:31 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 21:09 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 22:41 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 030° 43 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 350° 53 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 005° 40 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:55 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 090° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 135° 61 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:12 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 135° 43 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 145° 33 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 075° 28 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 100° 49 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 080° 66 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 980 mb
Surface wind: 095° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 310° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 310° 48 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 315° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 190° 28 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 200° 53 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 230° 85 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 050° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 160° 51 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 150° 35 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 140° 31 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 090° 42 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 115° 47 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 110° 46 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 100° 78 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 125° 15 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 060° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 23:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 045° 46 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 23:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 040° 35 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 030° 43 kt
Splash 107 nm at 312° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 350° 53 kt
Splash 52 nm at 307° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 005° 40 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 31 nm at 299° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 17:55 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 090° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 2 nm at 259° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 135° 61 kt
Splash 26 nm at 080° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:12 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 135° 43 kt
Splash 55 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 145° 33 kt
Splash 112 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:01 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 075° 28 kt
Splash 111 nm at 046° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 100° 49 kt
Splash 57 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 080° 66 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 31 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 980 mb
Surface wind: 095° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 233° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 310° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 30 nm at 218° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 19:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 310° 48 kt
Splash 58 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 315° 29 kt
Splash 112 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 190° 28 kt
Splash 101 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 20:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 200° 53 kt
Splash 50 nm at 125° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 230° 85 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 38 nm at 121° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 050° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 160° 51 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°)
Splash 40 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 150° 35 kt
Splash 78 nm at 091° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 21:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 140° 31 kt
Splash 107 nm at 091° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 090° 42 kt
Splash 111 nm at 049° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 115° 47 kt
Splash 63 nm at 052° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 110° 46 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 41 nm at 055° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 100° 78 kt
Splash 19 nm at 038° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 125° 15 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 4 nm at 300° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 22:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 060° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)
Splash 39 nm at 353° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 23:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 045° 46 kt
Splash 74 nm at 355° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-25 23:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 040° 35 kt
Splash 108 nm at 357° (NW) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 79 kt, 32 nm at 310° (NW) from the estimated center, 17:43 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 106 kt, 28 nm at 092° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:00 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 101 kt, 35 nm at 128° (SE) from the estimated center, 20:59 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 97 kt, 41 nm at 095° (SE) from the estimated center, 21:22 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 84 kt, 26 nm at 000° (NE) from the estimated center, 22:50 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (17:10–17:52 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 32 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (17:52–19:31 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 28 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (19:31–21:09 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 35 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (21:09–22:42 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 41 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (22:42–23:23 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 26 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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