Recon › Nolo

AF302 0315E

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF302 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-25 15:48 – 23:38 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

160°W158°W156°W154°W152°W14°N16°N18°N20°N22°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 17:52 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 19:31 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 21:09 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-25 22:41 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 030° 43 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:40 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 350° 53 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 005° 40 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:55 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 979 mb Surface wind: 090° 7 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:03 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 135° 61 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:12 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 135° 43 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 145° 33 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 075° 28 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 100° 49 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 080° 66 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 980 mb Surface wind: 095° 5 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 310° 57 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:50 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1000 mb Surface wind: 310° 48 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 315° 29 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 190° 28 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 200° 53 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:02 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 230° 85 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 978 mb Surface wind: 050° 4 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 993 mb Surface wind: 160° 51 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:36 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 150° 35 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 140° 31 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 090° 42 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 115° 47 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:32 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 994 mb Surface wind: 110° 46 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:39 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 983 mb Surface wind: 100° 78 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 125° 15 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:57 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 995 mb Surface wind: 060° 65 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 23:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 045° 46 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 23:17 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 040° 35 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 030° 43 kt Splash 107 nm at 312° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:40 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 350° 53 kt Splash 52 nm at 307° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 005° 40 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 31 nm at 299° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 17:55 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 979 mb Surface wind: 090° 7 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 2 nm at 259° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:03 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 135° 61 kt Splash 26 nm at 080° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:12 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 135° 43 kt Splash 55 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 18:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 145° 33 kt Splash 112 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:01 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 075° 28 kt Splash 111 nm at 046° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:17 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 100° 49 kt Splash 57 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 080° 66 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 31 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 980 mb Surface wind: 095° 5 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 233° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 310° 57 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 30 nm at 218° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 19:50 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1000 mb Surface wind: 310° 48 kt Splash 58 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 315° 29 kt Splash 112 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 190° 28 kt Splash 101 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 20:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 200° 53 kt Splash 50 nm at 125° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:02 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 230° 85 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 38 nm at 121° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 978 mb Surface wind: 050° 4 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 993 mb Surface wind: 160° 51 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°) Splash 40 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:36 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 150° 35 kt Splash 78 nm at 091° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 21:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 140° 31 kt Splash 107 nm at 091° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 090° 42 kt Splash 111 nm at 049° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 115° 47 kt Splash 63 nm at 052° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:32 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 994 mb Surface wind: 110° 46 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 41 nm at 055° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:39 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 983 mb Surface wind: 100° 78 kt Splash 19 nm at 038° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 125° 15 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 4 nm at 300° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 22:57 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 995 mb Surface wind: 060° 65 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Splash 39 nm at 353° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 23:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 045° 46 kt Splash 74 nm at 355° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-25 23:17 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 040° 35 kt Splash 108 nm at 357° (NW) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 79 kt, 32 nm at 310° (NW) from the estimated center, 17:43 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 106 kt, 28 nm at 092° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:00 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 101 kt, 35 nm at 128° (SE) from the estimated center, 20:59 UTCPass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 97 kt, 41 nm at 095° (SE) from the estimated center, 21:22 UTCPass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 84 kt, 26 nm at 000° (NE) from the estimated center, 22:50 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

Back to Nolo's storm page