Recon › Nolo
AF300 0715E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF300 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-27 09:57 – 17:27 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
160°W 158°W 156°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 11:55 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 13:35 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 15:05 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 16:36 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 060° 27 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 060° 28 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 025° 86 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 970 mb
Surface wind: 160° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 12:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 195° 59 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 12:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 170° 16 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 095° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 090° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 968 mb
Surface wind: 045° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 290° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 14:08 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 305° 24 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 14:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 220° 23 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 180° 69 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 966 mb
Surface wind: 195° 2 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 355° 87 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 045° 23 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 295° 20 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 270° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 335° 3 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 045° 64 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 17:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 065° 37 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 060° 28 kt
Splash 125 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 025° 86 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 21 nm at 324° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 11:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 970 mb
Surface wind: 160° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 144° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 12:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 195° 59 kt
Splash 31 nm at 129° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 12:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 170° 16 kt
Splash 112 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 095° 30 kt
Splash 107 nm at 043° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 090° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 22 nm at 035° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 968 mb
Surface wind: 045° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 040° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 13:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 290° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 18 nm at 217° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 14:08 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 305° 24 kt
Splash 103 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 14:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 220° 23 kt
Splash 104 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 180° 69 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 18 nm at 107° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 966 mb
Surface wind: 195° 2 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 171° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 355° 87 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 22 nm at 291° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 15:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 045° 23 kt
Splash 105 nm at 315° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 295° 20 kt
Splash 105 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 270° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 21 nm at 202° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 335° 3 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 2 nm at 011° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 16:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 045° 64 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)
Splash 19 nm at 349° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-27 17:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 065° 37 kt
Splash 110 nm at 001° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 87 kt, 31 nm at 332° (NW) from the estimated center, 11:48 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 92 kt, 23 nm at 050° (NE) from the estimated center, 13:28 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 83 kt, 20 nm at 233° (SW) from the estimated center, 13:42 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 97 kt, 25 nm at 309° (NW) from the estimated center, 15:12 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 105 kt, 19 nm at 008° (NE) from the estimated center, 16:40 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (11:14–11:55 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 31 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (11:55–13:35 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 23 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (13:35–15:05 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 20 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (15:05–16:36 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 25 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (16:36–17:14 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 19 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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