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AF300 0715E

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF300 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-27 09:57 – 17:27 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

160°W158°W156°W14°N16°N18°N20°N22°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 11:55 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 13:35 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 15:05 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-27 16:36 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 060° 27 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 060° 28 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:54 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 977 mb Surface wind: 025° 86 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 970 mb Surface wind: 160° 5 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 12:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 195° 59 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 12:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 170° 16 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 095° 30 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:31 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 090° 65 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:39 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 968 mb Surface wind: 045° 5 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 290° 65 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 14:08 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 305° 24 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 14:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 220° 23 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 180° 69 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 966 mb Surface wind: 195° 2 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 981 mb Surface wind: 355° 87 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 045° 23 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 295° 20 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 983 mb Surface wind: 270° 75 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:40 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 965 mb Surface wind: 335° 3 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 045° 64 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 17:10 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 065° 37 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:25 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 060° 28 kt Splash 125 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:54 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 977 mb Surface wind: 025° 86 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 21 nm at 324° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 11:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 970 mb Surface wind: 160° 5 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 144° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 12:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 195° 59 kt Splash 31 nm at 129° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 12:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 170° 16 kt Splash 112 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 095° 30 kt Splash 107 nm at 043° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:31 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 090° 65 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 22 nm at 035° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:39 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 968 mb Surface wind: 045° 5 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 040° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 13:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 290° 65 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 18 nm at 217° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 14:08 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 305° 24 kt Splash 103 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 14:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 220° 23 kt Splash 104 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:04 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 982 mb Surface wind: 180° 69 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 18 nm at 107° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 966 mb Surface wind: 195° 2 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 171° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 981 mb Surface wind: 355° 87 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 22 nm at 291° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 15:37 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 045° 23 kt Splash 105 nm at 315° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 295° 20 kt Splash 105 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 983 mb Surface wind: 270° 75 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 21 nm at 202° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:40 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 965 mb Surface wind: 335° 3 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 2 nm at 011° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 16:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 045° 64 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Splash 19 nm at 349° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-27 17:10 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 065° 37 kt Splash 110 nm at 001° (NE) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 87 kt, 31 nm at 332° (NW) from the estimated center, 11:48 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 92 kt, 23 nm at 050° (NE) from the estimated center, 13:28 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 83 kt, 20 nm at 233° (SW) from the estimated center, 13:42 UTCPass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 97 kt, 25 nm at 309° (NW) from the estimated center, 15:12 UTCPass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 105 kt, 19 nm at 008° (NE) from the estimated center, 16:40 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

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