Recon › Lowell
AF309 0912E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF309 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-07 02:47 – 08:36 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
166°W 164°W 162°W 160°W 158°W 156°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 05:13 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 06:56 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 08:01 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 04:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 090° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 04:56 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 070° 46 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 963 mb
Surface wind: 060° 84 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 949 mb
Surface wind: 130° 11 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 962 mb
Surface wind: 295° 68 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 290° 64 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 295° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 195° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 180° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 195° 66 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 950 mb
Surface wind: 180° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 957 mb
Surface wind: 020° 107 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 015° 61 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 040° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:38 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 340° 33 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 345° 63 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 958 mb
Surface wind: 005° 58 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 951 mb
Surface wind: 085° 10 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 961 mb
Surface wind: 120° 83 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 145° 46 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 135° 32 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 04:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 090° 29 kt
Splash 135 nm at 041° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 04:56 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 070° 46 kt
Splash 72 nm at 036° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 963 mb
Surface wind: 060° 84 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 14 nm at 358° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 949 mb
Surface wind: 130° 11 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 962 mb
Surface wind: 295° 68 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 22 nm at 207° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 290° 64 kt
Splash 49 nm at 218° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 05:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 295° 37 kt
Splash 88 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 195° 29 kt
Splash 119 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 180° 40 kt
Splash 72 nm at 135° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 195° 66 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 22 nm at 137° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 06:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 950 mb
Surface wind: 180° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 296° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 957 mb
Surface wind: 020° 107 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 13 nm at 303° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 015° 61 kt
Splash 42 nm at 307° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 040° 40 kt
Splash 87 nm at 308° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:38 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 340° 33 kt
Splash 88 nm at 271° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 07:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 345° 63 kt
Splash 47 nm at 266° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 958 mb
Surface wind: 005° 58 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)
Splash 14 nm at 256° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 951 mb
Surface wind: 085° 10 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 7 nm at 198° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 961 mb
Surface wind: 120° 83 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°)
Splash 12 nm at 086° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 145° 46 kt
Splash 55 nm at 093° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 08:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 135° 32 kt
Splash 113 nm at 094° (SE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 94 kt, 16 nm at 020° (NE) from the estimated center, 05:09 UTC Pass 1: peak SFMR surface wind 87 kt, 11 nm at 017° (NE) from the estimated center, 05:10 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 98 kt, 16 nm at 218° (SW) from the estimated center, 05:18 UTC Pass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 74 kt, 18 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated center, 05:18 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 92 kt, 17 nm at 319° (NW) from the estimated center, 07:01 UTC Pass 3: peak SFMR surface wind 89 kt, 14 nm at 320° (NW) from the estimated center, 07:00 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 107 kt, 16 nm at 109° (SE) from the estimated center, 08:06 UTC Pass 4: peak SFMR surface wind 82 kt, 16 nm at 109° (SE) from the estimated center, 08:06 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Peak SFMR surface wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (04:34–05:14 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 16 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (05:14–06:56 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 16 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (06:56–08:01 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 17 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (08:01–08:36 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 16 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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