This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches, and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

Final data: 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC — Lowell is no longer being actively tracked (Post-Tropical Low). See the RI climatology or the marine heatwave map for current activity.

Post-Tropical Low Lowell EP122026

Peak 140 kt (Category 5) · Recorded 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC – 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC · 57 cycles archived

SHIPS coverage: 56 of 57 tropical or subtropical 6-hourly fixes (98%)

Category 5140 kt peakRI: +65 kt in 24 h beginning 9/1 12Z

Final position 29.0°N 169.9°W · last moving W at 9 kt · final pressure 997 mb · final advisory 60, 2026-09-11 03:00 UTC

Rapid intensification

Based on preliminary operational best-track data. NHC's post-season reanalysis can revise a storm's wind history — in marginal cases, this could change whether the storm still meets the RI threshold.

10°N20°N30°N180°W160°W140°W120°WRapid intensificationRapid intensification2026-08-25 18:00 UTC · 10.1°N 136.7°W · 15 kt2026-08-26 00:00 UTC · 10.2°N 136.4°W · 15 kt2026-08-26 06:00 UTC · 10.3°N 136.0°W · 15 kt2026-08-26 12:00 UTC · 10.4°N 135.5°W · 15 kt2026-08-26 18:00 UTC · 10.6°N 135.1°W · 20 kt2026-08-27 00:00 UTC · 10.8°N 135.0°W · 20 kt2026-08-27 06:00 UTC · 10.9°N 134.8°W · 25 kt2026-08-27 12:00 UTC · 11.0°N 134.4°W · 25 kt2026-08-27 18:00 UTC · 11.2°N 134.0°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16%2026-08-28 00:00 UTC · 11.3°N 133.6°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15%2026-08-28 06:00 UTC · 11.6°N 133.0°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13%2026-08-28 12:00 UTC · 12.3°N 132.7°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-08-28 18:00 UTC · 12.4°N 133.1°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13%2026-08-29 00:00 UTC · 12.4°N 133.8°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12%2026-08-29 06:00 UTC · 12.6°N 134.5°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15%2026-08-29 12:00 UTC · 12.9°N 135.3°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16%2026-08-29 18:00 UTC · 13.1°N 136.4°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16%2026-08-30 00:00 UTC · 13.2°N 137.6°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14%2026-08-30 06:00 UTC · 13.2°N 138.6°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 17%2026-08-30 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 139.8°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14%2026-08-30 18:00 UTC · 13.3°N 141.3°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15%2026-08-31 00:00 UTC · 13.2°N 142.8°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15%2026-08-31 06:00 UTC · 13.0°N 143.7°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 18%2026-08-31 12:00 UTC · 12.8°N 145.2°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 31%2026-08-31 18:00 UTC · 12.8°N 146.0°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 23%2026-09-01 00:00 UTC · 12.9°N 147.0°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 21%2026-09-01 06:00 UTC · 13.0°N 148.1°W · 60 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 28%2026-09-01 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 148.9°W · 65 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 37%2026-09-01 18:00 UTC · 13.5°N 149.9°W · 80 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 39%2026-09-02 00:00 UTC · 13.5°N 150.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 46%2026-09-02 06:00 UTC · 13.5°N 151.7°W · 120 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 33%2026-09-02 12:00 UTC · 13.4°N 152.7°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-02 18:00 UTC · 13.3°N 153.7°W · 140 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-03 00:00 UTC · 13.3°N 154.7°W · 135 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-03 06:00 UTC · 13.3°N 155.8°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-03 12:00 UTC · 13.4°N 156.7°W · 120 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 8%2026-09-03 18:00 UTC · 13.5°N 157.6°W · 120 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11%2026-09-04 00:00 UTC · 13.5°N 158.4°W · 115 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12%2026-09-04 06:00 UTC · 13.5°N 159.2°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14%2026-09-04 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 159.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14%2026-09-04 18:00 UTC · 13.2°N 160.4°W · 130 kt2026-09-05 00:00 UTC · 13.2°N 161.1°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-05 06:00 UTC · 13.2°N 161.7°W · 140 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-05 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 162.3°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-05 18:00 UTC · 13.4°N 162.9°W · 125 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-06 00:00 UTC · 13.6°N 163.2°W · 115 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12%2026-09-06 06:00 UTC · 14.0°N 163.5°W · 115 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13%2026-09-06 12:00 UTC · 14.4°N 163.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12%2026-09-06 18:00 UTC · 14.8°N 163.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 10%2026-09-07 00:00 UTC · 15.4°N 163.7°W · 105 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-07 06:00 UTC · 16.1°N 163.4°W · 105 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-07 12:00 UTC · 17.0°N 162.9°W · 100 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-07 18:00 UTC · 18.0°N 162.2°W · 95 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-08 00:00 UTC · 19.5°N 161.5°W · 95 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-08 06:00 UTC · 21.2°N 160.9°W · 95 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-08 12:00 UTC · 23.0°N 160.7°W · 85 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-08 18:00 UTC · 24.5°N 160.7°W · 70 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-09 00:00 UTC · 25.7°N 160.9°W · 60 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-09 06:00 UTC · 26.9°N 161.1°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-09 12:00 UTC · 27.7°N 161.7°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-09 18:00 UTC · 28.7°N 163.0°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-10 00:00 UTC · 29.1°N 164.4°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-10 06:00 UTC · 29.1°N 165.6°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-10 12:00 UTC · 29.1°N 166.9°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-10 18:00 UTC · 29.0°N 168.3°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-11 00:00 UTC · 29.0°N 169.5°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%
Observed trackRapid intensification
Position from ATCF best track. Hover a point for time, position, wind, and SHIPS RI probability when available.

Recon

7 of 31 aircraft fixes fell inside a rapid-intensification episode.

Hurricane Hunter observations archived from NHC: 31 aircraft fixes and 13 archived flights. Observations, not the best track.

Best-track pressureDropsonde-measuredExtrapolated from flight levelMethod not recordedAircraft minimum sea-level pressure (mb)Rapid intensification
Best-track windAircraft surface windPeak flight-level wind(kt)
164°W162°W160°W158°W156°W154°W152°W12°N14°N16°N18°N20°N22°N24°N26°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-02 22:30 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-03 22:12 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 17:54 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 20:12 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 21:58 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 23:17 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 00:38 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 02:24 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 05:34 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 07:17 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 08:53 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 10:39 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 20:08 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 21:43 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 22:54 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 05:13 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 06:56 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 08:01 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 16:49 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 18:27 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 19:36 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 21:12 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 22:36 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 02:15 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 03:53 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 04:52 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 06:03 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 08:24 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 10:06 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 11:23 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 12:37 UTC
Best trackFixes: 09-02 22:30 09-08 12:37 UTC
Fix log (31 fixes with measurements)
Time (UTC)MissionPositionFlight levelMin. SLPSLP methodSfc windFL windFix typeEye
09-02 22:30NOAA3 WA12E13.25°N 154.40°W933 mbdropsonde123 ktcenterC15 (CLOSED)
09-03 22:12NOAA3 WB12E13.49°N 158.05°W945 mbdropsonde116 ktcenterC20 (OPEN N)
09-04 17:54AF309 0212E13.22°N 160.35°W700 mb931 mbdropsonde127 kt145 ktcenter, intensityC32 (CLOSED)
09-04 20:12AF309 0212E13.23°N 160.63°W700 mb927 mbdropsonde142 ktcenterC26 (CLOSED)
09-04 21:58NOAA3 0312E13.24°N 160.88°W700 mb925 mbdropsonde142 ktcenterC25 (CLOSED)
09-04 23:17NOAA3 0312E13.24°N 160.96°W700 mb925 mbdropsonde143 ktcenterC26 (CLOSED)
09-05 00:38NOAA3 0312E13.26°N 161.07°W700 mb922 mbdropsonde146 ktcenterC25 (CLOSED)
09-05 02:24NOAA3 0312E13.25°N 161.28°W700 mb920 mb150 ktcenter
09-05 05:34AF309 0412E13.25°N 161.62°W700 mb923 mbdropsonde134 kt141 ktcenter, intensityC22 (CLOSED)
09-05 07:17AF309 0412E13.22°N 161.75°W700 mb925 mbdropsonde124 kt136 ktcenter, intensityC22 (CLOSED)
09-06 08:53AF309 0612E14.07°N 163.57°W700 mb948 mbextrapolated99 kt114 ktcenter, intensityC32 (CLOSED)
09-06 10:39AF309 0612E14.20°N 163.66°W700 mb944 mbdropsonde93 kt113 ktcenter, intensityC30 (CLOSED)
09-06 20:08AF309 0712E15.00°N 163.74°W700 mb948 mbdropsonde94 kt109 ktcenter, intensityC30 (CLOSED)
09-06 21:43AF309 0712E15.11°N 163.76°W700 mb949 mbdropsonde104 kt108 ktcenter, intensityC30 (CLOSED)
09-06 22:54AF309 0712E15.25°N 163.81°W700 mb948 mbdropsonde50 kt108 ktcenter, intensityC30 (CLOSED)
09-07 05:13AF309 0912E15.98°N 163.46°W700 mb949 mbdropsonde87 kt98 ktcenter, intensityC50 (SPIRAL, OPEN SE)
09-07 06:56AF309 0912E16.14°N 163.31°W700 mb950 mbdropsonde89 kt94 ktcenter, intensityC32 (OPEN S)
09-07 08:01AF309 0912E16.31°N 163.26°W700 mb951 mbdropsonde84 kt107 ktcenter, intensityC32 (OPEN S)
09-07 16:49AF303 1012E17.74°N 162.35°W700 mb955 mbdropsonde104 kt93 ktcenter, intensity
09-07 18:27AF303 1012E18.09°N 162.13°W700 mb957 mbdropsonde113 kt103 ktcenter, intensityC35 (OPEN SE)
09-07 19:36AF303 1012E18.40°N 162.04°W700 mb956 mbdropsonde123 kt113 ktcenter, intensity
09-07 21:12AF303 1012E18.82°N 161.91°W700 mb958 mbdropsonde121 kt112 ktcenter, intensity
09-07 22:36AF303 1012E19.09°N 161.71°W700 mb958 mbdropsonde118 kt131 ktcenter, intensity
09-08 02:15AF309 1112E20.17°N 161.30°W700 mb958 mbdropsonde91 kt105 ktcenter, intensityC25 (OPEN NE-SE)
09-08 03:53AF309 1112E20.61°N 161.07°W700 mb959 mbdropsonde78 kt107 ktcenter, intensityC35 (OPEN NE)
09-08 04:52AF309 1112E20.82°N 161.04°W700 mb961 mbdropsonde82 kt112 ktcenter, intensityC35 (OPEN E-W)
09-08 06:03AF309 1112E21.21°N 160.92°W700 mb963 mbdropsonde78 kt106 ktcenter, intensityC35 (OPEN SE-SW)
09-08 08:24AF303 1212E21.94°N 160.72°W700 mb965 mbdropsonde118 kt100 ktcenter, intensity
09-08 10:06AF303 1212E22.40°N 160.75°W700 mb967 mbdropsonde97 ktcenter
09-08 11:23AF303 1212E22.81°N 160.76°W700 mb966 mbdropsonde111 ktcenter
09-08 12:37AF303 1212E23.13°N 160.73°W700 mb967 mbdropsonde94 ktcenter

SHIPS data captured 2026-08-27 18:00 UTC – 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC · Peak intensity 140 kt · 57 cycles archived

hover the chart to inspect a moment
Environmental history across Lowell's recorded life. Shaded band(s) mark the same rapid-intensification episode(s) shown in the RI badge above (identical computation, ≥30 kt/24 h merged episodes from best track). Shaded span covers all qualifying 24 h windows, so it can extend past the intensity peak. The SHIPS-RII lane is the forecast probability issued at each cycle, not an observed value. The aircraft lane shows each aircraft fix (observation) of minimum sea-level pressure, from NHC's ATCF fix file; it is not the best track.Hover to inspect any moment across every lane at once.

Satellite intensity estimates

Best-track windDvorak, JTWC (PGTW)Dvorak, CPHC (PHFO)Dvorak, TAFB (NHC)ADT (UW-CIMSS)SATCON (UW-CIMSS)Maximum wind (kt) estimated from satellite imagery — estimates, not observations, and not the official intensity. ADT and SATCON: UW-CIMSS, delivered through NHC’s ATCF fix files. Subjective Dvorak from the agency named on each fix.