This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches, and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
Final data: 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC — Lowell is no longer being actively tracked (Post-Tropical Low). See the RI climatology or the marine heatwave map for current activity.
Final position 29.0°N 169.9°W · last moving W at 9 kt · final pressure 997 mb · final advisory 60, 2026-09-11 03:00 UTC
Rapid intensification +65 kt/24 h peak — 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC to 2026-09-02 18:00 UTC (55 → 140 kt, +85 kt across the episode)+30 kt/24 h peak — 2026-09-04 06:00 UTC to 2026-09-05 06:00 UTC (110 → 140 kt, +30 kt across the episode)Based on preliminary operational best-track data. NHC's post-season reanalysis can revise a storm's wind history — in marginal cases, this could change whether the storm still meets the RI threshold.
10°N 20°N 30°N 180°W 160°W 140°W 120°W Rapid intensification Rapid intensification 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC · 10.1°N 136.7°W · 15 kt 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC · 10.2°N 136.4°W · 15 kt 2026-08-26 06:00 UTC · 10.3°N 136.0°W · 15 kt 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC · 10.4°N 135.5°W · 15 kt 2026-08-26 18:00 UTC · 10.6°N 135.1°W · 20 kt 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC · 10.8°N 135.0°W · 20 kt 2026-08-27 06:00 UTC · 10.9°N 134.8°W · 25 kt 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC · 11.0°N 134.4°W · 25 kt 2026-08-27 18:00 UTC · 11.2°N 134.0°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16% 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC · 11.3°N 133.6°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15% 2026-08-28 06:00 UTC · 11.6°N 133.0°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13% 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC · 12.3°N 132.7°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC · 12.4°N 133.1°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13% 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC · 12.4°N 133.8°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12% 2026-08-29 06:00 UTC · 12.6°N 134.5°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15% 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC · 12.9°N 135.3°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16% 2026-08-29 18:00 UTC · 13.1°N 136.4°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16% 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC · 13.2°N 137.6°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14% 2026-08-30 06:00 UTC · 13.2°N 138.6°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 17% 2026-08-30 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 139.8°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14% 2026-08-30 18:00 UTC · 13.3°N 141.3°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15% 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC · 13.2°N 142.8°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 15% 2026-08-31 06:00 UTC · 13.0°N 143.7°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 18% 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC · 12.8°N 145.2°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 31% 2026-08-31 18:00 UTC · 12.8°N 146.0°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 23% 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC · 12.9°N 147.0°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 21% 2026-09-01 06:00 UTC · 13.0°N 148.1°W · 60 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 28% 2026-09-01 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 148.9°W · 65 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 37% 2026-09-01 18:00 UTC · 13.5°N 149.9°W · 80 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 39% 2026-09-02 00:00 UTC · 13.5°N 150.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 46% 2026-09-02 06:00 UTC · 13.5°N 151.7°W · 120 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 33% 2026-09-02 12:00 UTC · 13.4°N 152.7°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-02 18:00 UTC · 13.3°N 153.7°W · 140 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-03 00:00 UTC · 13.3°N 154.7°W · 135 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-03 06:00 UTC · 13.3°N 155.8°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-03 12:00 UTC · 13.4°N 156.7°W · 120 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 8% 2026-09-03 18:00 UTC · 13.5°N 157.6°W · 120 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11% 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC · 13.5°N 158.4°W · 115 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12% 2026-09-04 06:00 UTC · 13.5°N 159.2°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14% 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 159.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 14% 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC · 13.2°N 160.4°W · 130 kt 2026-09-05 00:00 UTC · 13.2°N 161.1°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-05 06:00 UTC · 13.2°N 161.7°W · 140 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC · 13.3°N 162.3°W · 130 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-05 18:00 UTC · 13.4°N 162.9°W · 125 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC · 13.6°N 163.2°W · 115 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12% 2026-09-06 06:00 UTC · 14.0°N 163.5°W · 115 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13% 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC · 14.4°N 163.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12% 2026-09-06 18:00 UTC · 14.8°N 163.8°W · 110 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 10% 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC · 15.4°N 163.7°W · 105 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-07 06:00 UTC · 16.1°N 163.4°W · 105 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-07 12:00 UTC · 17.0°N 162.9°W · 100 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-07 18:00 UTC · 18.0°N 162.2°W · 95 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-08 00:00 UTC · 19.5°N 161.5°W · 95 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-08 06:00 UTC · 21.2°N 160.9°W · 95 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-08 12:00 UTC · 23.0°N 160.7°W · 85 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-08 18:00 UTC · 24.5°N 160.7°W · 70 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC · 25.7°N 160.9°W · 60 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-09 06:00 UTC · 26.9°N 161.1°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-09 12:00 UTC · 27.7°N 161.7°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-09 18:00 UTC · 28.7°N 163.0°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-10 00:00 UTC · 29.1°N 164.4°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-10 06:00 UTC · 29.1°N 165.6°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC · 29.1°N 166.9°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-10 18:00 UTC · 29.0°N 168.3°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC · 29.0°N 169.5°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0% Observed track Rapid intensification
Position from ATCF best track. Hover a point for time, position, wind, and SHIPS RI probability when available. Recon 7 of 31 aircraft fixes fell inside a rapid-intensification episode.
Hurricane Hunter observations archived from NHC: 31 aircraft fixes and 13 archived flights. Observations, not the best track.
Best-track pressure Dropsonde-measuredExtrapolated from flight level Method not recordedAircraft minimum sea-level pressure (mb) Rapid intensification
Best-track wind Aircraft surface wind Peak flight-level wind(kt) 164°W 162°W 160°W 158°W 156°W 154°W 152°W 12°N 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N 24°N 26°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-02 22:30 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-03 22:12 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 17:54 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 20:12 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 21:58 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-04 23:17 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 00:38 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 02:24 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 05:34 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-05 07:17 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 08:53 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 10:39 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 20:08 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 21:43 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 22:54 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 05:13 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 06:56 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 08:01 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 16:49 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 18:27 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 19:36 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 21:12 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 22:36 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 02:15 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 03:53 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 04:52 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 06:03 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 08:24 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 10:06 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 11:23 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 12:37 UTC Best trackFixes: 09-02 22:30 09-08 12:37 UTC Fix log (31 fixes with measurements) Time (UTC) Mission Position Flight level Min. SLP SLP method Sfc wind FL wind Fix type Eye 09-02 22:30 NOAA3 WA12E 13.25°N 154.40°W 933 mb dropsonde 123 kt center C15 (CLOSED) 09-03 22:12 NOAA3 WB12E 13.49°N 158.05°W 945 mb dropsonde 116 kt center C20 (OPEN N) 09-04 17:54 AF309 0212E 13.22°N 160.35°W 700 mb 931 mb dropsonde 127 kt 145 kt center, intensity C32 (CLOSED) 09-04 20:12 AF309 0212E 13.23°N 160.63°W 700 mb 927 mb dropsonde 142 kt center C26 (CLOSED) 09-04 21:58 NOAA3 0312E 13.24°N 160.88°W 700 mb 925 mb dropsonde 142 kt center C25 (CLOSED) 09-04 23:17 NOAA3 0312E 13.24°N 160.96°W 700 mb 925 mb dropsonde 143 kt center C26 (CLOSED) 09-05 00:38 NOAA3 0312E 13.26°N 161.07°W 700 mb 922 mb dropsonde 146 kt center C25 (CLOSED) 09-05 02:24 NOAA3 0312E 13.25°N 161.28°W 700 mb 920 mb 150 kt center 09-05 05:34 AF309 0412E 13.25°N 161.62°W 700 mb 923 mb dropsonde 134 kt 141 kt center, intensity C22 (CLOSED) 09-05 07:17 AF309 0412E 13.22°N 161.75°W 700 mb 925 mb dropsonde 124 kt 136 kt center, intensity C22 (CLOSED) 09-06 08:53 AF309 0612E 14.07°N 163.57°W 700 mb 948 mb extrapolated 99 kt 114 kt center, intensity C32 (CLOSED) 09-06 10:39 AF309 0612E 14.20°N 163.66°W 700 mb 944 mb dropsonde 93 kt 113 kt center, intensity C30 (CLOSED) 09-06 20:08 AF309 0712E 15.00°N 163.74°W 700 mb 948 mb dropsonde 94 kt 109 kt center, intensity C30 (CLOSED) 09-06 21:43 AF309 0712E 15.11°N 163.76°W 700 mb 949 mb dropsonde 104 kt 108 kt center, intensity C30 (CLOSED) 09-06 22:54 AF309 0712E 15.25°N 163.81°W 700 mb 948 mb dropsonde 50 kt 108 kt center, intensity C30 (CLOSED) 09-07 05:13 AF309 0912E 15.98°N 163.46°W 700 mb 949 mb dropsonde 87 kt 98 kt center, intensity C50 (SPIRAL, OPEN SE) 09-07 06:56 AF309 0912E 16.14°N 163.31°W 700 mb 950 mb dropsonde 89 kt 94 kt center, intensity C32 (OPEN S) 09-07 08:01 AF309 0912E 16.31°N 163.26°W 700 mb 951 mb dropsonde 84 kt 107 kt center, intensity C32 (OPEN S) 09-07 16:49 AF303 1012E 17.74°N 162.35°W 700 mb 955 mb dropsonde 104 kt 93 kt center, intensity 09-07 18:27 AF303 1012E 18.09°N 162.13°W 700 mb 957 mb dropsonde 113 kt 103 kt center, intensity C35 (OPEN SE) 09-07 19:36 AF303 1012E 18.40°N 162.04°W 700 mb 956 mb dropsonde 123 kt 113 kt center, intensity 09-07 21:12 AF303 1012E 18.82°N 161.91°W 700 mb 958 mb dropsonde 121 kt 112 kt center, intensity 09-07 22:36 AF303 1012E 19.09°N 161.71°W 700 mb 958 mb dropsonde 118 kt 131 kt center, intensity 09-08 02:15 AF309 1112E 20.17°N 161.30°W 700 mb 958 mb dropsonde 91 kt 105 kt center, intensity C25 (OPEN NE-SE) 09-08 03:53 AF309 1112E 20.61°N 161.07°W 700 mb 959 mb dropsonde 78 kt 107 kt center, intensity C35 (OPEN NE) 09-08 04:52 AF309 1112E 20.82°N 161.04°W 700 mb 961 mb dropsonde 82 kt 112 kt center, intensity C35 (OPEN E-W) 09-08 06:03 AF309 1112E 21.21°N 160.92°W 700 mb 963 mb dropsonde 78 kt 106 kt center, intensity C35 (OPEN SE-SW) 09-08 08:24 AF303 1212E 21.94°N 160.72°W 700 mb 965 mb dropsonde 118 kt 100 kt center, intensity 09-08 10:06 AF303 1212E 22.40°N 160.75°W 700 mb 967 mb dropsonde 97 kt center 09-08 11:23 AF303 1212E 22.81°N 160.76°W 700 mb 966 mb dropsonde 111 kt center 09-08 12:37 AF303 1212E 23.13°N 160.73°W 700 mb 967 mb dropsonde 94 kt center
All flights for Lowell on the Recon page
SHIPS data captured 2026-08-27 18:00 UTC – 2026-09-11 00:00 UTC · Peak intensity 140 kt · 57 cycles archived
hover the chart to inspect a moment
Environmental history across Lowell's recorded life. Shaded band(s) mark the same rapid-intensification episode(s) shown in the RI badge above (identical computation, ≥30 kt/24 h merged episodes from best track). Shaded span covers all qualifying 24 h windows, so it can extend past the intensity peak. The SHIPS-RII lane is the forecast probability issued at each cycle, not an observed value. The aircraft lane shows each aircraft fix (observation) of minimum sea-level pressure, from NHC's ATCF fix file; it is not the best track.Hover to inspect any moment across every lane at once. Satellite intensity estimates
Best-track wind Dvorak, JTWC (PGTW) Dvorak, CPHC (PHFO) Dvorak, TAFB (NHC) ADT (UW-CIMSS) SATCON (UW-CIMSS)Maximum wind (kt) estimated from satellite imagery — estimates, not observations, and not the official intensity. ADT and SATCON: UW-CIMSS, delivered through NHC’s ATCF fix files. Subjective Dvorak from the agency named on each fix.