Recon › Lowell
AF309 0712E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF309 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-06 17:49 – 09-07 00:36 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
166°W 164°W 162°W 160°W 158°W 156°W 14°N 16°N 18°N 20°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 20:08 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 21:43 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 22:54 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 19:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 080° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 19:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 065° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 19:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 987 mb
Surface wind: 080° 49 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 966 mb
Surface wind: 065° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 948 mb
Surface wind: 090° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 959 mb
Surface wind: 290° 78 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 290° 50 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 290° 34 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 185° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 175° 47 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 959 mb
Surface wind: 175° 77 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 949 mb
Surface wind: 170° 6 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:55 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 015° 105 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 020° 58 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:18 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 030° 36 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 345° 34 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 960 mb
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 948 mb
Surface wind: 105° 3 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 23:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 085° 96 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 23:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 095° 46 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 23:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 085° 36 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 19:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 080° 39 kt
Splash 94 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 19:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 065° 40 kt
Splash 91 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 19:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 987 mb
Surface wind: 080° 49 kt
Splash 45 nm at 024° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 966 mb
Surface wind: 065° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 18 nm at 010° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 948 mb
Surface wind: 090° 5 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 212° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 959 mb
Surface wind: 290° 78 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 16 nm at 205° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 290° 50 kt
Splash 57 nm at 219° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 20:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 290° 34 kt
Splash 103 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 185° 30 kt
Splash 93 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 175° 47 kt
Splash 43 nm at 128° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 959 mb
Surface wind: 175° 77 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 16 nm at 108° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 949 mb
Surface wind: 170° 6 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 161° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 21:55 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 015° 105 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 18 nm at 297° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 020° 58 kt
Splash 53 nm at 309° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:18 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 030° 36 kt
Splash 94 nm at 312° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 345° 34 kt
Splash 73 nm at 271° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 960 mb
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)
Splash 12 nm at 258° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 22:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 948 mb
Surface wind: 105° 3 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 5 nm at 227° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 23:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 085° 96 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 16 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 23:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 095° 46 kt
Splash 53 nm at 039° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-06 23:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 085° 36 kt
Splash 94 nm at 041° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 109 kt, 18 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:03 UTC Pass 1: peak SFMR surface wind 94 kt, 15 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:04 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 104 kt, 15 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated center, 21:38 UTC Pass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 90 kt, 16 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated center, 20:17 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 108 kt, 20 nm at 315° (NW) from the estimated center, 21:52 UTC Pass 3: peak SFMR surface wind 104 kt, 17 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated center, 21:51 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 108 kt, 16 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated center, 23:04 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Peak SFMR surface wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (19:27–20:08 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 18 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (20:08–21:43 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 15 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (21:43–22:54 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 20 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (22:54–23:39 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 16 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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