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AF309 0712E

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF309 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-06 17:49 – 09-07 00:36 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

166°W164°W162°W160°W158°W156°W14°N16°N18°N20°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 20:08 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 21:43 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-06 22:54 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 19:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 080° 39 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 19:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 065° 40 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 19:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 987 mb Surface wind: 080° 49 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 966 mb Surface wind: 065° 75 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 948 mb Surface wind: 090° 5 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 959 mb Surface wind: 290° 78 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:32 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 290° 50 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 290° 34 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 185° 30 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:33 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 985 mb Surface wind: 175° 47 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 959 mb Surface wind: 175° 77 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 949 mb Surface wind: 170° 6 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:55 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 965 mb Surface wind: 015° 105 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 020° 58 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:18 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 996 mb Surface wind: 030° 36 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 994 mb Surface wind: 345° 34 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:53 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 960 mb Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:57 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 948 mb Surface wind: 105° 3 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 23:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 965 mb Surface wind: 085° 96 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 23:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 095° 46 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 23:30 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 996 mb Surface wind: 085° 36 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 19:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 080° 39 kt Splash 94 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 19:45 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 065° 40 kt Splash 91 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 19:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 987 mb Surface wind: 080° 49 kt Splash 45 nm at 024° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 966 mb Surface wind: 065° 75 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 18 nm at 010° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 948 mb Surface wind: 090° 5 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 212° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 959 mb Surface wind: 290° 78 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Splash 16 nm at 205° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:32 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 290° 50 kt Splash 57 nm at 219° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 20:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 290° 34 kt Splash 103 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 997 mb Surface wind: 185° 30 kt Splash 93 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:33 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 985 mb Surface wind: 175° 47 kt Splash 43 nm at 128° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:42 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 959 mb Surface wind: 175° 77 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 16 nm at 108° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 949 mb Surface wind: 170° 6 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 0 nm at 161° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 21:55 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 965 mb Surface wind: 015° 105 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 18 nm at 297° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:06 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 020° 58 kt Splash 53 nm at 309° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:18 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 996 mb Surface wind: 030° 36 kt Splash 94 nm at 312° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 994 mb Surface wind: 345° 34 kt Splash 73 nm at 271° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:53 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 960 mb Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Splash 12 nm at 258° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 22:57 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 948 mb Surface wind: 105° 3 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 5 nm at 227° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 23:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 965 mb Surface wind: 085° 96 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 16 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 23:19 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 988 mb Surface wind: 095° 46 kt Splash 53 nm at 039° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-09-06 23:30 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 996 mb Surface wind: 085° 36 kt Splash 94 nm at 041° (NE) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 109 kt, 18 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:03 UTCPass 1: peak SFMR surface wind 94 kt, 15 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:04 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 104 kt, 15 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated center, 21:38 UTCPass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 90 kt, 16 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated center, 20:17 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 108 kt, 20 nm at 315° (NW) from the estimated center, 21:52 UTCPass 3: peak SFMR surface wind 104 kt, 17 nm at 317° (NW) from the estimated center, 21:51 UTCPass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 108 kt, 16 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated center, 23:04 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passPeak SFMR surface wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

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