Recon › Lowell
AF303 1212E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF303 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-08 06:18 – 13:37 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
163°W 162°W 161°W 160°W 159°W 158°W 157°W 156°W 155°W 19°N 20°N 21°N 22°N 23°N 24°N 25°N 26°N 27°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 08:24 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 10:06 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 11:23 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-08 12:37 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 07:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 080° 41 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 075° 47 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 070° 56 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 150° 22 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 300° 56 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 335° 36 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 09:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 195° 34 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 09:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 190° 51 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 10:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 090° 13 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 10:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 350° 66 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 10:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 015° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 325° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 295° 55 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 966 mb
Surface wind: 095° 8 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 105° 70 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 085° 62 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:58 UTC (launch) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:22 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 050° 60 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 035° 56 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 085° 20 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 245° 66 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 13:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 265° 41 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 13:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 205° 35 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 07:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 080° 41 kt
Splash 120 nm at 033° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 075° 47 kt
Splash 75 nm at 029° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 070° 56 kt
Splash 44 nm at 025° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 965 mb
Surface wind: 150° 22 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 323° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 300° 56 kt
Splash 52 nm at 216° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 08:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 335° 36 kt
Splash 93 nm at 219° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 09:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 195° 34 kt
Splash 119 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 09:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 994 mb
Surface wind: 190° 51 kt
Splash 75 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 10:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 090° 13 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 201° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 10:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 350° 66 kt
Splash 43 nm at 305° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 10:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 015° 40 kt
Splash 82 nm at 309° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:02 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 325° 37 kt
Splash 85 nm at 218° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 295° 55 kt
Splash 52 nm at 210° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 966 mb
Surface wind: 095° 8 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 208° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 105° 70 kt
Splash 36 nm at 050° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 085° 62 kt
Splash 68 nm at 048° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 11:58 UTC (launch)
Splash 110 nm at 046° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:22 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 050° 60 kt
Splash 60 nm at 355° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 035° 56 kt
Splash 32 nm at 351° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 085° 20 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 2 nm at 242° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 12:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 245° 66 kt
Splash 53 nm at 168° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 13:04 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 265° 41 kt
Splash 83 nm at 170° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-08 13:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 205° 35 kt
Splash 119 nm at 154° (SE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 100 kt, 46 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center, 08:13 UTC Pass 1: peak SFMR surface wind 118 kt, 25 nm at 030° (NE) from the estimated center, 08:19 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 97 kt, 52 nm at 142° (SE) from the estimated center, 09:50 UTC Pass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 104 kt, 32 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated center, 08:33 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 81 kt, 45 nm at 312° (NW) from the estimated center, 10:19 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 111 kt, 37 nm at 059° (NE) from the estimated center, 11:35 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 93 kt, 62 nm at 173° (SE) from the estimated center, 12:54 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Peak SFMR surface wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (07:24–08:24 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 46 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (08:24–10:06 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 52 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (10:06–11:23 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 45 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (11:23–12:37 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 37 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (12:37–13:18 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 62 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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