Recon › Lowell
AF303 1012E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF303 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-09-07 14:35 – 23:44 UTC ·5 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
164°W 162°W 160°W 158°W 156°W 16°N 18°N 20°N 22°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 16:49 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 18:27 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 19:36 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 21:12 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-09-07 22:36 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:18 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 075° 31 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 075° 43 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:43 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 050° 64 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 955 mb
Surface wind: 160° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 969 mb
Surface wind: 305° 77 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 295° 60 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 290° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:55 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 195° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 200° 58 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 195° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 957 mb
Surface wind: 140° 10 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 005° 69 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 005° 59 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 035° 31 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 355° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 335° 57 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 330° 62 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 956 mb
Surface wind: 130° 13 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 963 mb
Surface wind: 115° 82 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 130° 69 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 20:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 135° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 20:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 035° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 20:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 045° 45 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 025° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 958 mb
Surface wind: 105° 18 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 260° 63 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 245° 64 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 255° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 185° 43 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 190° 60 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 185° 76 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 958 mb
Surface wind: 085° 6 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 120° 53 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 975 mb
Surface wind: 125° 83 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 23:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 155° 47 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:18 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 075° 31 kt
Splash 127 nm at 035° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind: 075° 43 kt
Splash 88 nm at 031° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:43 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 050° 64 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 31 nm at 006° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 16:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 955 mb
Surface wind: 160° 7 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 211° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 969 mb
Surface wind: 305° 77 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (225°)
Splash 26 nm at 208° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 295° 60 kt
Splash 47 nm at 216° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 290° 37 kt
Splash 95 nm at 218° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 17:55 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 195° 37 kt
Splash 115 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 200° 58 kt
Splash 63 nm at 139° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 981 mb
Surface wind: 195° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 45 nm at 141° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:31 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 957 mb
Surface wind: 140° 10 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 238° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 005° 69 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 22 nm at 297° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:42 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 005° 59 kt
Splash 38 nm at 304° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 18:57 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 035° 31 kt
Splash 85 nm at 305° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 355° 30 kt
Splash 84 nm at 267° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 988 mb
Surface wind: 335° 57 kt
Splash 48 nm at 261° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 330° 62 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)
Splash 33 nm at 253° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 956 mb
Surface wind: 130° 13 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 333° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 963 mb
Surface wind: 115° 82 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°)
Splash 18 nm at 073° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 19:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 977 mb
Surface wind: 130° 69 kt
Splash 38 nm at 084° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 20:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 135° 40 kt
Splash 97 nm at 090° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 20:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 035° 30 kt
Splash 98 nm at 358° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 20:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 045° 45 kt
Splash 56 nm at 355° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 982 mb
Surface wind: 025° 65 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (000°)
Splash 27 nm at 344° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 958 mb
Surface wind: 105° 18 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 215° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 973 mb
Surface wind: 260° 63 kt
Splash 39 nm at 171° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 245° 64 kt
Splash 56 nm at 175° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 21:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 255° 29 kt
Splash 108 nm at 176° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 185° 43 kt
Splash 100 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:23 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 986 mb
Surface wind: 190° 60 kt
Splash 57 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 185° 76 kt
Splash 44 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 958 mb
Surface wind: 085° 6 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 4 nm at 227° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 967 mb
Surface wind: 120° 53 kt
Splash 24 nm at 081° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 22:54 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 975 mb
Surface wind: 125° 83 kt
Splash 36 nm at 087° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-09-07 23:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 155° 47 kt
Splash 97 nm at 094° (SE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 93 kt, 26 nm at 011° (NE) from the estimated center, 16:41 UTC Pass 1: peak SFMR surface wind 104 kt, 16 nm at 003° (NE) from the estimated center, 16:44 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 103 kt, 46 nm at 147° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:12 UTC Pass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 113 kt, 32 nm at 155° (SE) from the estimated center, 18:17 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 92 kt, 23 nm at 313° (NW) from the estimated center, 18:34 UTC Pass 3: peak SFMR surface wind 135 kt, 33 nm at 264° (SW) from the estimated center, 19:26 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 113 kt, 45 nm at 093° (SE) from the estimated center, 19:51 UTC Pass 4: peak SFMR surface wind 123 kt, 28 nm at 089° (NE) from the estimated center, 19:46 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 114 kt, 42 nm at 138° (SE) from the estimated center, 22:23 UTC Pass 5: peak SFMR surface wind 106 kt, 36 nm at 140° (SE) from the estimated center, 22:25 UTC Pass 6: peak 10-s flight-level wind 131 kt, 34 nm at 094° (SE) from the estimated center, 22:49 UTC Pass 6: peak SFMR surface wind 118 kt, 30 nm at 094° (SE) from the estimated center, 22:48 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Peak SFMR surface wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (16:08–16:49 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 26 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (16:49–18:27 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 46 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (18:27–19:36 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 23 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (19:36–21:12 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 45 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (21:12–22:39 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 42 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 6 (22:39–23:21 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 34 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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