This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.
NOAA3 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-10-09 02:54 – 09:33 UTC ·2 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position. Thinned to one observation a minute in storage.
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.
Storm-relative view
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.
Pass 1 (03:58–04:35 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 18 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis
Pass 2 (04:35–05:36 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 17 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis
Pass 3 (05:36–06:46 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 20 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis
Pass 4 (06:46–07:40 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 17 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis
Pass 5 (07:40–08:06 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 14 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis
Pass 6 (08:06–08:45 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 32 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis
Observations along the flight
From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rateFlight-level temperature and dewpointAircraft pressure and geopotential height