Recon › Isaias
NOAA3 0809A This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
NOAA3 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-10-08 14:02 – 21:22 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position. Thinned to one observation a minute in storage.
92°W 90°W 88°W 86°W 84°W 82°W 22°N 24°N 26°N 28°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 16:03 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 17:17 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 18:24 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 075° 18 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 085° 45 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 315° 11 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 300° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 310° 24 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 225° 41 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 215° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 150° 9 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 040° 46 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 030° 21 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 005° 22 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 360° 29 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 330° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 145° 14 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 130° 58 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 135° 58 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 160° 55 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 170° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 19:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 980 mb
Surface wind: 170° 44 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 19:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 190° 48 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 19:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 170° 81 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Flight-level wind: Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:50 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 075° 18 kt
Splash 60 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 085° 45 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 22 nm at 015° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 315° 11 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 330° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:19 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 300° 37 kt
Splash 53 nm at 208° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 310° 24 kt
Splash 96 nm at 210° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 225° 41 kt
Splash 53 nm at 154° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 989 mb
Surface wind: 215° 57 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 23 nm at 156° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 150° 9 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 208° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 040° 46 kt
Splash 48 nm at 325° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:45 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 030° 21 kt
Splash 97 nm at 326° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 005° 22 kt
Splash 98 nm at 273° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 360° 29 kt
Splash 51 nm at 269° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:25 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 330° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (270°)
Splash 15 nm at 251° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 145° 14 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 0 nm at 240° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:32 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 130° 58 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (090°)
Splash 13 nm at 074° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 135° 58 kt
Splash 24 nm at 082° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 160° 55 kt
Splash 50 nm at 088° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 18:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 170° 30 kt
Splash 101 nm at 090° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 19:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 980 mb
Surface wind: 170° 44 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 15 nm at 127° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 19:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 190° 48 kt
Splash 38 nm at 123° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 19:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 985 mb
Surface wind: 170° 81 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 20 nm at 115° (SE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 73 kt, 13 nm at 021° (NE) from the estimated center, 15:59 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 77 kt, 28 nm at 165° (SE) from the estimated center, 17:11 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 60 kt, 11 nm at 266° (SW) from the estimated center, 18:22 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 72 kt, 26 nm at 091° (SE) from the estimated center, 19:10 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 87 kt, 23 nm at 135° (SE) from the estimated center, 19:22 UTC Pass 6: peak 10-s flight-level wind 72 kt, 20 nm at 068° (NE) from the estimated center, 19:49 UTC Observations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (15:25–16:03 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 13 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (16:03–17:18 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 28 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (17:18–18:25 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 11 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (18:25–19:16 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 26 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (19:16–19:42 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 23 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 6 (19:42–20:27 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 20 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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