Recon › Isaias
NOAA2 0609A This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
NOAA2 (NOAA WP-3D) · 2026-10-08 03:22 – 09:31 UTC ·3 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position. Thinned to one observation a minute in storage.
94°W 92°W 90°W 88°W 86°W 84°W 82°W 20°N 22°N 24°N 26°N 28°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 05:07 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 06:24 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 07:29 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 04:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 05:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 05:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 310° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 05:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 320° 18 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 200° 27 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 220° 26 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 215° 47 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 320° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 360° 49 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 040° 37 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 060° 24 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 005° 25 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:20 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 020° 44 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 350° 62 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 060° 41 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 125° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 160° 34 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 155° 35 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 04:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Splash 48 nm at 027° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 05:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Splash 14 nm at 206° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 05:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 310° 37 kt
Splash 61 nm at 212° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 05:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 320° 18 kt
Splash 111 nm at 212° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:03 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 200° 27 kt
Splash 105 nm at 146° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:16 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 220° 26 kt
Splash 49 nm at 141° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 215° 47 kt
Splash 29 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 984 mb
Surface wind: 320° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 2 nm at 164° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:30 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 360° 49 kt
Splash 9 nm at 288° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 040° 37 kt
Splash 48 nm at 316° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 06:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 060° 24 kt
Splash 94 nm at 318° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 005° 25 kt
Splash 88 nm at 270° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:20 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 020° 44 kt
Splash 47 nm at 268° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:27 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 350° 62 kt
Splash 22 nm at 259° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:33 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 060° 41 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 7 nm at 266° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Surface wind: 125° 39 kt
Splash 7 nm at 075° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 160° 34 kt
Splash 51 nm at 090° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 07:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 155° 35 kt
Splash 98 nm at 090° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 62 kt, 16 nm at 030° (NE) from the estimated center, 05:03 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 64 kt, 23 nm at 140° (SE) from the estimated center, 06:19 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 76 kt, 14 nm at 268° (SW) from the estimated center, 07:25 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 52 kt, 5 nm at 108° (SE) from the estimated center, 07:32 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (04:30–05:07 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 16 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (05:07–06:24 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 23 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (06:24–07:29 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 14 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (07:29–08:08 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 5 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
Back to Isaias's storm page