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AF305 0709A

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF305 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-10-08 09:31 – 17:40 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position. Thinned to one observation a minute in storage.

92°W90°W88°W22°N24°N26°N28°N30°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 11:56 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 13:38 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 15:09 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 16:39 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:24 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 065° 24 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 055° 42 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 055° 42 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:53 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 015° 67 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 978 mb Surface wind: 200° 20 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 12:05 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 200° 42 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 12:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 200° 40 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 12:28 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 240° 33 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 050° 21 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:21 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 060° 16 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 991 mb Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:40 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 979 mb Surface wind: 135° 27 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 14:10 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 320° 20 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 14:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 180° 34 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 14:56 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 996 mb Surface wind: 185° 50 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:00 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 180° 47 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 125° 10 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 983 mb Surface wind: 005° 75 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 045° 42 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 055° 21 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 310° 23 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 995 mb Surface wind: 310° 39 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:41 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 340° 4 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 085° 59 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)Dropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 130° 28 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 17:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 135° 19 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:24 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 065° 24 kt Splash 119 nm at 335° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 055° 42 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 76 nm at 334° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 055° 42 kt Splash 76 nm at 334° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:53 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 015° 67 kt Splash 14 nm at 321° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 11:58 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 978 mb Surface wind: 200° 20 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 4 nm at 144° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 12:05 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 200° 42 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 28 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 12:13 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 200° 40 kt Splash 55 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 12:28 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 240° 33 kt Splash 105 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 050° 21 kt Splash 108 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:21 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1003 mb Surface wind: 060° 16 kt Splash 65 nm at 049° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 991 mb Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 19 nm at 051° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 13:40 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 979 mb Surface wind: 135° 27 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 326° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 14:10 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 320° 20 kt Splash 100 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 14:46 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 180° 34 kt Splash 91 nm at 128° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 14:56 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 996 mb Surface wind: 185° 50 kt Splash 52 nm at 122° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:00 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 998 mb Surface wind: 180° 47 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Splash 38 nm at 117° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:11 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 125° 10 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 304° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:14 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 983 mb Surface wind: 005° 75 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Splash 10 nm at 282° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:29 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 045° 42 kt Splash 62 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 15:44 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1005 mb Surface wind: 055° 21 kt Splash 109 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:15 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1006 mb Surface wind: 310° 23 kt Splash 88 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:26 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 995 mb Surface wind: 310° 39 kt Splash 52 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:41 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 976 mb Surface wind: 340° 4 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 6 nm at 240° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 990 mb Surface wind: 085° 59 kt Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Splash 17 nm at 025° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 16:59 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 130° 28 kt Splash 55 nm at 040° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-10-08 17:09 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 135° 19 kt Splash 91 nm at 042° (NE) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 54 kt, 62 nm at 335° (NW) from the estimated center, 11:38 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 77 kt, 22 nm at 140° (SE) from the estimated center, 12:02 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 84 kt, 16 nm at 113° (SE) from the estimated center, 15:05 UTCPass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 71 kt, 13 nm at 316° (NW) from the estimated center, 15:13 UTCPass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 69 kt, 22 nm at 040° (NE) from the estimated center, 16:48 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

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