Recon › Isaias
AF305 0709A This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF305 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-10-08 09:31 – 17:40 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position. Thinned to one observation a minute in storage.
92°W 90°W 88°W 22°N 24°N 26°N 28°N 30°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 11:56 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 13:38 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 15:09 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-10-08 16:39 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 065° 24 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 055° 42 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 055° 42 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 015° 67 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 200° 20 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 12:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 200° 42 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 12:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 200° 40 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 12:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 240° 33 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 050° 21 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 060° 16 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 135° 27 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 14:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 320° 20 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 14:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 180° 34 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 14:56 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 185° 50 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 180° 47 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 125° 10 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 005° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 045° 42 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 055° 21 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 310° 23 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 310° 39 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 340° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 085° 59 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 130° 28 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 135° 19 kt Flight-level wind: < 34 kt 34–49 kt 50–63 kt 64–82 kt 83–95 kt 96–112 kt 113+ kt Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:24 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 065° 24 kt
Splash 119 nm at 335° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 055° 42 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 76 nm at 334° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:35 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 055° 42 kt
Splash 76 nm at 334° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:53 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 015° 67 kt
Splash 14 nm at 321° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 11:58 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 978 mb
Surface wind: 200° 20 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 4 nm at 144° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 12:05 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 992 mb
Surface wind: 200° 42 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 28 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 12:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 200° 40 kt
Splash 55 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 12:28 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 240° 33 kt
Splash 105 nm at 136° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 050° 21 kt
Splash 108 nm at 047° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:21 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 060° 16 kt
Splash 65 nm at 049° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:34 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 991 mb
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 19 nm at 051° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 13:40 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 979 mb
Surface wind: 135° 27 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 326° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 14:10 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 320° 20 kt
Splash 100 nm at 223° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 14:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 180° 34 kt
Splash 91 nm at 128° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 14:56 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 996 mb
Surface wind: 185° 50 kt
Splash 52 nm at 122° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 998 mb
Surface wind: 180° 47 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (135°)
Splash 38 nm at 117° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:11 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 125° 10 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 304° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:14 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 983 mb
Surface wind: 005° 75 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 10 nm at 282° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:29 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 045° 42 kt
Splash 62 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 15:44 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1005 mb
Surface wind: 055° 21 kt
Splash 109 nm at 311° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 310° 23 kt
Splash 88 nm at 224° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:26 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 995 mb
Surface wind: 310° 39 kt
Splash 52 nm at 221° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:41 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 976 mb
Surface wind: 340° 4 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 6 nm at 240° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:47 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 990 mb
Surface wind: 085° 59 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 17 nm at 025° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 16:59 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1001 mb
Surface wind: 130° 28 kt
Splash 55 nm at 040° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-10-08 17:09 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1004 mb
Surface wind: 135° 19 kt
Splash 91 nm at 042° (NE) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 54 kt, 62 nm at 335° (NW) from the estimated center, 11:38 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 77 kt, 22 nm at 140° (SE) from the estimated center, 12:02 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 84 kt, 16 nm at 113° (SE) from the estimated center, 15:05 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 71 kt, 13 nm at 316° (NW) from the estimated center, 15:13 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 69 kt, 22 nm at 040° (NE) from the estimated center, 16:48 UTC Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per pass Dropsonde splash point Estimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (11:14–11:56 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 62 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (11:56–13:39 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 22 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (13:39–15:09 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 16 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (15:09–16:39 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 13 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (16:39–17:36 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 22 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages. Shading: a rapid-intensification episode.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure: Dropsonde-measured
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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