This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches, and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

Final data: 2026-10-21 12:00 UTC — Invest is no longer being actively tracked (Disturbance). See the RI climatology or the marine heatwave map for current activity.

Disturbance Invest EP942026

Peak 30 kt · Recorded 2026-10-18 18:00 UTC – 2026-10-21 12:00 UTC · 6 cycles archived

30 kt peak

Final position 9.5°N 99.0°W · last moving W at 12 kt · final pressure 1005 mb · Best track through 2026-10-21 12:00 UTC

10°N100°W95°W90°W2026-10-18 18:00 UTC · 10.6°N 89.2°W · 15 kt2026-10-19 00:00 UTC · 10.7°N 90.3°W · 15 kt2026-10-19 06:00 UTC · 10.7°N 91.2°W · 15 kt2026-10-19 12:00 UTC · 10.7°N 92.1°W · 15 kt2026-10-19 18:00 UTC · 10.6°N 93.0°W · 20 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-10-20 00:00 UTC · 10.3°N 94.0°W · 20 kt2026-10-20 06:00 UTC · 10.0°N 94.8°W · 25 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-10-20 12:00 UTC · 10.0°N 95.6°W · 25 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 17%2026-10-20 18:00 UTC · 9.8°N 96.2°W · 25 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 18%2026-10-21 00:00 UTC · 9.7°N 96.9°W · 25 kt2026-10-21 06:00 UTC · 9.6°N 97.8°W · 25 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 36%2026-10-21 12:00 UTC · 9.5°N 99.0°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 40%
Observed track
Position from ATCF best track. Hover a point for time, position, wind, and SHIPS RI probability when available.

SHIPS data captured 2026-10-19 18:00 UTC – 2026-10-21 12:00 UTC · Peak intensity 30 kt · 6 cycles archived

hover the chart to inspect a moment
Environmental history across Invest's recorded life. Shaded band(s) mark the same rapid-intensification episode(s) shown in the RI badge above (identical computation, ≥30 kt/24 h merged episodes from best track). Shaded span covers all qualifying 24 h windows, so it can extend past the intensity peak. The SHIPS-RII lane is the forecast probability issued at each cycle, not an observed value.Hover to inspect any moment across every lane at once.

Satellite intensity estimates

Best-track windDvorak, TAFB (NHC)Maximum wind (kt) estimated from satellite imagery — estimates, not observations, and not the official intensity. ADT and SATCON: UW-CIMSS, delivered through NHC’s ATCF fix files. Subjective Dvorak from the agency named on each fix.