This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches, and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

Final data: 2026-09-29 18:00 UTC — Fay is no longer being actively tracked (Post-Tropical Low). See the RI climatology or the marine heatwave map for current activity.

Post-Tropical Low Fay AL062026

Peak 60 kt · Recorded 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC – 2026-09-29 18:00 UTC · 42 cycles archived

SHIPS coverage: 37 of 38 tropical or subtropical 6-hourly fixes (97%)

60 kt peakRI: +30 kt in 24 h beginning 9/20 00Z

Final position 23.7°N 48.2°W · last moving WSW at 10 kt · final pressure 1011 mb · final advisory 39, 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC

Rapid intensification

Based on preliminary operational best-track data. NHC's post-season reanalysis can revise a storm's wind history — in marginal cases, this could change whether the storm still meets the RI threshold.

20°N30°N40°N60°W40°W20°WRapid intensification2026-09-17 12:00 UTC · 32.1°N 34.0°W · 15 kt2026-09-17 18:00 UTC · 32.4°N 34.2°W · 20 kt2026-09-18 00:00 UTC · 32.6°N 34.2°W · 20 kt2026-09-18 06:00 UTC · 32.8°N 34.2°W · 25 kt2026-09-18 12:00 UTC · 32.9°N 34.1°W · 25 kt2026-09-18 18:00 UTC · 32.8°N 34.0°W · 25 kt2026-09-19 00:00 UTC · 32.6°N 33.9°W · 30 kt2026-09-19 06:00 UTC · 32.6°N 33.6°W · 30 kt2026-09-19 12:00 UTC · 32.5°N 33.6°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 7%2026-09-19 18:00 UTC · 32.7°N 33.5°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 7%2026-09-20 00:00 UTC · 33.1°N 33.3°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 8%2026-09-20 06:00 UTC · 33.5°N 33.2°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 10%2026-09-20 12:00 UTC · 34.0°N 33.1°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 13%2026-09-20 18:00 UTC · 34.2°N 32.8°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 16%2026-09-21 00:00 UTC · 34.2°N 32.1°W · 60 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11%2026-09-21 06:00 UTC · 34.0°N 32.0°W · 55 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-21 12:00 UTC · 33.5°N 31.9°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-21 18:00 UTC · 33.3°N 32.1°W · 40 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-22 00:00 UTC · 32.6°N 32.7°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-22 06:00 UTC · 32.1°N 33.4°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-22 12:00 UTC · 31.4°N 34.1°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-22 18:00 UTC · 31.0°N 34.8°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-23 00:00 UTC · 30.6°N 35.7°W · 30 kt2026-09-23 06:00 UTC · 30.4°N 37.0°W · 30 kt2026-09-23 12:00 UTC · 30.3°N 37.9°W · 30 kt2026-09-23 18:00 UTC · 30.1°N 38.8°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 9%2026-09-24 00:00 UTC · 29.8°N 39.6°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11%2026-09-24 06:00 UTC · 29.9°N 40.2°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-24 12:00 UTC · 29.9°N 40.6°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-24 18:00 UTC · 30.0°N 41.1°W · 45 kt2026-09-25 00:00 UTC · 30.1°N 41.5°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-25 06:00 UTC · 30.1°N 41.9°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-25 12:00 UTC · 30.1°N 42.3°W · 50 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-25 18:00 UTC · 29.8°N 42.8°W · 45 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-26 00:00 UTC · 30.0°N 43.1°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-26 06:00 UTC · 30.0°N 43.5°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-26 12:00 UTC · 30.0°N 43.7°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-26 18:00 UTC · 29.9°N 43.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-27 00:00 UTC · 29.8°N 43.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-27 06:00 UTC · 29.7°N 43.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-27 12:00 UTC · 29.5°N 43.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-27 18:00 UTC · 29.1°N 43.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-28 00:00 UTC · 28.7°N 43.7°W · 25 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-28 06:00 UTC · 28.1°N 43.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 9%2026-09-28 12:00 UTC · 27.4°N 44.3°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 12%2026-09-28 18:00 UTC · 26.9°N 44.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11%2026-09-29 00:00 UTC · 26.3°N 45.5°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11%2026-09-29 06:00 UTC · 25.3°N 46.3°W · 35 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 11%2026-09-29 12:00 UTC · 24.5°N 46.9°W · 30 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%2026-09-29 18:00 UTC · 23.9°N 47.7°W · 25 kt · SHIPS 30 kt/24 h: 0%
Observed trackRapid intensification
Position from ATCF best track. Hover a point for time, position, wind, and SHIPS RI probability when available.

SHIPS data captured 2026-09-18 12:00 UTC – 2026-09-29 18:00 UTC · Peak intensity 60 kt · 42 cycles archived

hover the chart to inspect a moment
Environmental history across Fay's recorded life. Shaded band(s) mark the same rapid-intensification episode(s) shown in the RI badge above (identical computation, ≥30 kt/24 h merged episodes from best track). Shaded span covers all qualifying 24 h windows, so it can extend past the intensity peak. The SHIPS-RII lane is the forecast probability issued at each cycle, not an observed value.Hover to inspect any moment across every lane at once.

Satellite intensity estimates

Best-track windDvorak, TAFB (NHC)ADT (UW-CIMSS)SATCON (UW-CIMSS)Maximum wind (kt) estimated from satellite imagery — estimates, not observations, and not the official intensity. ADT and SATCON: UW-CIMSS, delivered through NHC’s ATCF fix files. Subjective Dvorak from the agency named on each fix.