Recon › Fausto
AF301 0506E This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center .
AF301 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-07-27 14:59 – 23:39 UTC ·4 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.
156°W 154°W 152°W 150°W 148°W 146°W 144°W 20°N 22°N 24°N Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-07-27 18:06 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-07-27 19:42 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-07-27 21:10 UTC Aircraft fix (observation), 2026-07-27 22:33 UTC Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 17:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 280° 19 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 18:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 185° 29 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 18:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 100° 49 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 18:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1012 mb
Surface wind: 095° 32 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 19:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1010 mb
Surface wind: 045° 31 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 19:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 025° 33 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 19:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 255° 11 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 20:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1009 mb
Surface wind: 175° 26 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 20:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1008 mb
Surface wind: 100° 50 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 21:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 090° 52 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°) Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 21:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 135° 17 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 21:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 325° 17 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 22:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1009 mb
Surface wind: 170° 30 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 22:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 190° 30 kt
Remark: Released at the center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 22:52 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 030° 38 kt Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 23:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1009 mb
Surface wind: 045° 32 kt Flight-level wind: Ringed dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission. Storm-relative view 25 nm 50 nm 100 nm 150 nm N NE SE SW NW Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 17:48 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 280° 19 kt
Splash 91 nm at 216° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 18:07 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 185° 29 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 5 nm at 173° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 18:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1003 mb
Surface wind: 100° 49 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 24 nm at 046° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 18:39 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1012 mb
Surface wind: 095° 32 kt
Splash 114 nm at 050° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 19:17 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1010 mb
Surface wind: 045° 31 kt
Splash 101 nm at 316° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 19:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 025° 33 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (315°)
Splash 33 nm at 328° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 19:46 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 997 mb
Surface wind: 255° 11 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 074° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 20:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1009 mb
Surface wind: 175° 26 kt
Splash 111 nm at 134° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 20:51 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1008 mb
Surface wind: 100° 50 kt
Splash 74 nm at 017° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 21:00 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1006 mb
Surface wind: 090° 52 kt
Remark: Released in the eyewall (045°)
Splash 49 nm at 005° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 21:15 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind: 135° 17 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 1 nm at 070° (NE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 21:36 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1007 mb
Surface wind: 325° 17 kt
Splash 80 nm at 222° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 22:13 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1009 mb
Surface wind: 170° 30 kt
Splash 80 nm at 123° (SE) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 22:37 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 999 mb
Surface wind: 190° 30 kt
Remark: Released at the center
Splash 11 nm at 180° (SW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 22:52 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1002 mb
Surface wind: 030° 38 kt
Splash 38 nm at 298° (NW) from the estimated center Dropsonde (observation)
Time: 2026-07-27 23:06 UTC (splash)
Surface pressure: 1009 mb
Surface wind: 045° 32 kt
Splash 89 nm at 310° (NW) from the estimated center Pass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 33 kt, 4 nm at 237° (SW) from the estimated center, 18:05 UTC Pass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 70 kt, 28 nm at 335° (NW) from the estimated center, 19:33 UTC Pass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 55 kt, 24 nm at 341° (NW) from the estimated center, 19:35 UTC Pass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 62 kt, 50 nm at 053° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:36 UTC Pass 3: peak SFMR surface wind 59 kt, 60 nm at 012° (NE) from the estimated center, 20:54 UTC Pass 4: peak 10-s flight-level wind 41 kt, 44 nm at 116° (SE) from the estimated center, 22:20 UTC Pass 4: peak SFMR surface wind 37 kt, 24 nm at 115° (SE) from the estimated center, 22:26 UTC Pass 5: peak 10-s flight-level wind 64 kt, 38 nm at 302° (NW) from the estimated center, 22:48 UTC Pass 5: peak SFMR surface wind 42 kt, 42 nm at 303° (NW) from the estimated center, 22:49 UTC Observations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above. Pass 1 (17:30–18:06 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 4 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 2 (18:06–19:43 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 28 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 3 (19:43–21:10 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 50 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 4 (21:10–22:33 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 44 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, SE) — an estimate, not an analysis Pass 5 (22:33–23:22 UTC): flight-level RMW estimate 38 nm (distance of the peak 10-s flight-level wind, NW) — an estimate, not an analysis Observations along the flight From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.
Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind
Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:
SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height
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