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AF302 1001C

This is an independent research/prototype tool, not an official source. Warnings, watches and the official forecast for this storm come from the National Hurricane Center.

AF302 (USAF Reserve WC-130J) · 2026-08-15 03:43 – 08:52 UTC ·2 center fixes · archived observations, not a live position.

156°W154°W152°W150°W148°W146°W144°W142°W16°N18°N20°N22°N24°N26°N28°NAircraft fix (observation), 2026-08-15 05:21 UTCAircraft fix (observation), 2026-08-15 05:57 UTCDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 04:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 040° 28 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 040° 31 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:24 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 225° 14 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 180° 24 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:52 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 305° 27 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 06:00 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 993 mb Surface wind: 205° 14 kt Remark: Released at the centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 06:18 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 100° 33 ktDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 06:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1009 mb Surface wind: 095° 39 kt
Flight-level wind:< 34 kt34–49 kt50–63 kt64–82 kt83–95 kt96–112 kt113+ ktRinged dots: center fixes (observations). Open circles: dropsonde splash points. Dashed: best track, ±12 h around the mission.

Storm-relative view

25 nm50 nm100 nm150 nmNNESESWNWDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 04:47 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1007 mb Surface wind: 040° 28 kt Splash 134 nm at 313° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:07 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 040° 31 kt Splash 65 nm at 312° (NW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:24 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 992 mb Surface wind: 225° 14 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 2 nm at 101° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1001 mb Surface wind: 180° 24 kt Splash 34 nm at 131° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 05:52 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 999 mb Surface wind: 305° 27 kt Splash 30 nm at 229° (SW) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 06:00 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 993 mb Surface wind: 205° 14 kt Remark: Released at the center Splash 1 nm at 116° (SE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 06:18 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1004 mb Surface wind: 100° 33 kt Splash 63 nm at 045° (NE) from the estimated centerDropsonde (observation) Time: 2026-08-15 06:34 UTC (splash) Surface pressure: 1009 mb Surface wind: 095° 39 kt Splash 123 nm at 046° (NE) from the estimated centerPass 1: peak 10-s flight-level wind 47 kt, 74 nm at 314° (NW) from the estimated center, 05:00 UTCPass 1: peak SFMR surface wind 40 kt, 38 nm at 314° (NW) from the estimated center, 05:10 UTCPass 2: peak 10-s flight-level wind 42 kt, 34 nm at 133° (SE) from the estimated center, 05:30 UTCPass 2: peak SFMR surface wind 39 kt, 28 nm at 132° (SE) from the estimated center, 05:28 UTCPass 3: peak 10-s flight-level wind 58 kt, 49 nm at 048° (NE) from the estimated center, 06:10 UTCPass 3: peak SFMR surface wind 43 kt, 20 nm at 049° (NE) from the estimated center, 06:02 UTC
Peak 10-s flight-level wind, per passPeak SFMR surface wind, per passDropsonde splash pointEstimated centerObservations relative to the estimated storm center (best track refined by this mission’s aircraft center fixes), north up, within 150 nm; not the best track. Track colored by flight-level wind, as on the map above.

Observations along the flight

From the HDOB messages, every 30 seconds. Gaps are missing values or missing messages.

Extrapolated surface pressure and peak flight-level wind

Center fixes (observations), minimum sea-level pressure:Dropsonde-measured

SFMR surface wind and rain rate
Flight-level temperature and dewpoint
Aircraft pressure and geopotential height

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